ATO logo

Reliability of small business income gap estimate

How we make sure the small business income gap estimate is reliable.

Published 3 November 2025

We seek feedback and advice about how we estimate the gap from our external and internal subject matter experts. Based on the advice and assessment, the reliability rating for this estimate is medium with a score of 17, which is unchanged from the score published in 2024.

We have stratified the sampling process to ensure it is representative of the wider population.

We engage former Deputy President of the Administrative Appeals Tribunal, Mr Stephen Frost, for further assurance. He verifies the accuracy and quality of a sample of the audit results that underpin our tax gap estimate.

Figure 6: Reliability rating scale from very low to very high – small business income tax gap

The latest small business income gap estimate is rated as Medium at 17. The rating scale is from very low (1–10), low (11–15), medium (16–20), high (21–25) to very high (26–30).

 

 

QC105703